The Week 1 Run Down
Yes, it is finally here! The MMV Season kicks off into high gear with 5 straight days of college grid iron action. The season kicks off in the sweltering heat of Houston at 6PM Central on the Duece, followed quickly by the Visor's re-debut down in Carolina. From there, the action only gets better as Utah tries to pick up where it left off with a home opener against Zona on Friday, then Saturday you get MAC front runner Bowling Green taking on the Badgers, followed by the blue turf Broncos traveling down to Georgia for a doozy of a tussle, and then a night cap of Notre Dame and Pittsburg on ABC. The action picks up again on Sunday with the Hokies taking on the Wolfpack in part 1 of an eventful ACC opening weekend --part 2 being the crowning game of pigskin weekend uno: Miami-Florida State on Monday Nite.
The Week 1 Schedule
Sep. 1 Thu UCF @ South Carolina (-18.5) 6:30 P ESPN
Sep. 1 Thu Oregon @ Houston (+8.5) 6:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 1 Thu Minnesota @ Tulsa (+15) 9:15 P ESPN2
Sep. 2 Fri Arizona @ Utah (-8) 7:00 P ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat TCU @ Oklahoma (-27) 11:00 A ABC
Sep. 3 Sat Miami (OH) @ Ohio State (-15.5) 11:00 A ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Bowling Green @ Wisconsin (-4) 11:00 A ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat Rutgers @ Illinois (-1.5) 11:00 A ESPN2
Sep. 3 Sat Boston College @ BYU (+4) 2:30 p ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Northern Illinois @ Michigan (-18) 2:30 p ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Air Force vs. Washington (-2.5) 2:30 p ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Colorado State @ Colorado (-8) 2:30 p TBS
Sep. 3 Sat Boise State @ Georgia (-7) 4:30 P ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat Southern California @ Hawaii 6:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 3 Sat UL-Lafayette @ Texas (-39.5) 6:00 P FSN
Sep. 3 Sat Texas A&M @ Clemson (+1) 7:00 P ABC
Sep. 3 Sat Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh (-3.5) 7:00 P ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat GA Tech @ Auburn (-7) 7:45 P ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat UCLA @ San Diego State (+7.5) 9:15 P ESPN2
Sep. 4 Sun West Virginia @ Syracuse (-1) 12:30 P ABC
Sep. 4 Sun Louisville @ Kentucky (+22) 2:30 P ESPN
Sep. 4 Sun Tulane @ Southern Miss (-10.5) 3:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 4 Sun VA Tech @ NC State (+5.5) 6:15 P ESPN2
Sep. 5 Mon UNLV @ New Mexico (-14) 12:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 5 Mon Ole Miss @ Memphis (-2.5) 3:30 P ESPN
Sep. 5 Mon Miami @ Florida State (-3) 7:00 P ABC
The Week 1 Run Down
Sep. 1 Thu UCF @ South Carolina (-18.5) 6:30 P ESPN
Steve Spurrier makes his NCAA comeback debut in Columbia against the Golden Knights (who are still led by one-time Irish Coach George O’Leary). In his first season back in the SEC, don’t expect much out of these Cocks; however, with the Knights coming into this one riding an oh-fer streak out of Oh-Fo’, DO expect the Visor to notch a dubbya in his first game. Given the offseason the Gamecocks have had (no less than a half dozen players either left or were dismissed from the team), you just know these guys are ready to get out on that gridiron and vent a little frustration. Oh, and don’t think for a minute that Spurrier learned any real humility in his disastrous coaching stint in the NFL.
Gamecocks peck the spread to bits.
Sep. 1 Thu Oregon @ Houston (+8.5) 6:00 P ESPN2
The second game of the season is actually the first, but The Visor’s return is getting all the pub these days so who am I to buck the trend? In this one, Belotti’s underachieving Ducks travel down to Houston to tussle with the Cougars. Art Briles’ crew, while regressing a bit last season, sport a potent pass attack with returning gunslinger Kevin Kolb who should have no problem airing it out against what looks to be yet another average Ducky-D. On the other side of the ball, the Ducks new offense coordinator (Gary Crowton from BYU) has installed a spread offense to make better use of QB Kellen Clemens. His arm and the feet of WR Demetrius Williams should keep the Cougar defense on its heels –and open up all kinds of running room for Terrance Whitehead. Yep, that’s right: Whitehead. In this one, not only will the Pigskin Year get kicked off, but we’ll also get to see if the Deuce Crew can hit the season running with their usual level of commentary excellence –ie, just how many “Oh, Whitehead just got popped!” comments do you think they can dish out?
Ducks, straight up.
Sep. 2 Fri Arizona @ Utah (-8) 7:00 P ESPN
As of right now, this is the lone fare on the Friday menu (unless you count Division II –which I don’t), but what it may lack in quantity it ought to make up for in quality and intrigue. The Ute’s are one year removed from that BCS Bustin’ showing of yester-year, but have an almost entirely rebuilt coaching staff along with a new man under center. Gone is uber-guru Urban Meyer, the Ute Offensive Coordinator, and first overall draft pick Alex Smith –not to mention their leading rusher (Marty Johnson), and their top two receivers. With that many loses, how can they possibly keep from having a big let down year? Enter Oregon’s Andy Ludwig at O-coordinator, Brain Johnson under center, and rock sledder Quinton Ganther (widely considered one of the top backs in the Mountain West). On defense, the Ute’s should be fine with starters coming back at all positions except linebacker. For ‘Zona, this marks year number two under the Stoops Brothers (Mike is head coach and Mark is defensive coordinator). Now while the Wildcats may have turned a serious corner on defense, they are a long ways from good on offense (ranked 116th in the nation last year). With only 5 returning starters from last year’s unit look for speed and youth to markedly improve these Desert Cats O. But even at that, it will still be this offense that keeps AU from having an above sea level record and reaching Bowl Nirvana. In this one, the diamond in the rough is the Cat D lining up against the Ute O: how this battle goes will be a harbinger for both teams this season. MHO: The Cats D will be a lot faster and nastier than Utah is expecting and inserting new guys at all major skill positions on offense will prove trickier than Utah thinks. Despite that, Utah should be able to pull away in the second half as their roster is just too deep for ‘Zona to keep up with. Sorry Stoopsie Twins.
Utah plus the spread.
Sep. 3 Sat TCU @ Oklahoma (-27) 11:00 A ABC
Will the Sooners make a statement in week one that last season’s Trojan hangover is but a distant memory, or will the inexperienced D get exposed against a strong Horny Frog? The Sooners lost 24 lettermen (including 7 starters on defense), but have all world back Adrian Peterson ready to sled with the rock. But this just in, Senior Paul Thompson has been named the Sooner starting QB over Super Prep Freshman Rhett Bomar –this has got to worry Sooner fans a little bit as Bomar was expected to run away with the job at the start of the spring drills. Regardless of who is under center though, expect the Sooners to go yard all day long against an overwhelmed Horned Frog secondary. The Frogs should be able to provide a good early season test for the inexperienced Sooner D as QB Tye Gunn’slinger’ is a legitimate threat against any defense, especially with the Mountain West’s best 1-2 punch in RBs Robert Merrill and Lonta Hobbs to keep the heat off him. Despite that, the Froggers just don’t have the meat up front or the team speed keep AP bottled up and in the backfield for four quarters.
Oklahoma by a mile –that’s more than 27, right?
Sep. 3 Sat Miami (OH) @ Ohio State (-15.5) 11:00A ABC*
The Redbirds field one of the most experienced MAC teams this season behind Josh Betts, a monster receiving crew and a solid and stable O-line. On defense, the secondary will be the weak link as the front seven are all returning starters that could provide headaches for OSU if they aren’t settled into their schemes right from the starting gun. The Buckeye’s feature a talent laden team that returns 9 starters on both sides of the ball including perhaps the nation’s best linebacking crew. Ted Ginn Jr will figure to be included in nearly every way imaginable (go ahead and count the number of times the commentators say “Give it to him ‘Ginn, and ‘Ginn, and ‘Ginn” –I dare you), but with Justin Zwick under center for Week 1 (Troy Smith is serving a one game suspension for taking illicit ‘donations’ while ‘working’ …hmmm) expect the Buckeye O to stop, start, cough and sputter throughout the game. This one is full of upset potential: (1) it’s in the ‘Shoe where OSU loves to play Tressel Ball (meaning: let me beat you in the 4th quarter with a field goal); (2) Mike Nugent the Savior has graduated and left the building, (3) OSU may just be looking ahead to next week’s showdown with Texas; and (4) the MAC will knock off a Big10 team this season –and this could be it? …but only if the Redbirds can add the spread to their final score.
Buckeye’s straight up.
Sep. 3 Sat Bowling Green @ Wisconsin (-4) 11:00 A ESPN
Last season, the Mean Green Falceen lost out to Toledo in an aerial shootout, ‘yet again’ missing out on the MAC Championship (talk about always the bridesmaid…). After their usual letdown, they responded by routing Memphis in the GMAC Bowl and have since declared this season a success if and only if they can capture that elusive conference crown (um, isn’t that on everyone’s goal list?). For the Badgers, last season started off well enough but turned ugly early with their main hoss Anthony Davis going down and their offense subsequently stuck in neutral for, well, the entire season. In ‘05, they’ve brought in Paul Chryst from Oregon State to spiffy up the pass attack and mold a real passing QB out of John Stucco. On the defensive side of the ball the Badgers will have to replace every single one beef eater on the defensive line (each found a hefty meal ticket with the NFL on draft day). Even so, don’t expect Wisconsin to call it a ‘rebuilding year’ or stop doing the almighty 4th Quarter Jump Around. While Bowling Green is more than ‘just’ capable of making the upset here (in fact, I’m surprised the line isn’t a pick’em), this IS Camp Randall and this IS a Barry Alvarez team (have you ever noticed that his guys just don’t ever rollover –or win pretty for that matter?).
Badgers by a …well, nose although I’m not sure exactly how big a Badger’s nose is.
Sep. 3 Sat Colorado State @ Colorado (-8) 2:30 p TBS
Last season the Rams top 4 tacklers on defense were their four starting DBs –that just ain’t good. This year, the front seven will have to step up if the Rams are to climb above 500 and get into Bowl Season. The Buffs, meanwhile, are looking to replace 12 year veteran RB Bobby Purify with senior Lawrence Vickers –the only trouble is that was the plan in each of the previous 3 seasons when Bobby went down with an injury. On defense, the Buffs are run stuffers but haven’t been able to put up much flak to stop anyone’s passing game. For C-State to capitalize, Justin Hollard will have to play error free while finding speedster David Anderson with the long ball. If the Buffs can feast on the Rams’ defense with their tight ends (Klopfenstein and Sypniewski –yeah, try saying those names 5 times fast) this should be a shoe-in for Barnett. Eh, and even it’s not, you can still take heart in knowing you’ll be watching two tight ends that will be making the big bucks in the Pro’s next year (barring injury).
Buffaloes and I’ll even give you the points.
Sep. 3 Sat Boise State @ Georgia (-7) 4:30 P ESPN
After years of hemming and hawing about not being taken seriously, the Blue Turf Bronco’s from Boise finally get their shot at some BCS Big Boys. Last season was supposed to be a ‘rebuilding year’ if you believe the Idaho Hype –and all they did was go a measly 11-1, losing to Louisville 44-40 in a wild Liberty Bowl of the ages (who can forget that game!?!). This year, 8 starters return on O and D highlighted by QB Jared Zebransky (yeah, you know his name). While everyone may think the Dawgs in Athens are a shoe-in against a mere WAC team, don’t take these Broncos so lightly. Personally, I think 7 is too many points to give this powerhouse team. True, Georgia’s D should be every bit as good as last year’s (even without Mr. Universe, David Pollack) but it’s the Georgia O that has me concerned. They didn’t exactly light up the conference last season with David Greene under center (despite the fact that he now owns the record for most wins by ANYONE in Division 1A). This season they get DJ Shockley –a stud hoss of a run/pass quarterback—but it could also take a while to get him comfortable and relaxed. Plus, they’ve lost their starting WR tandem of Reggie Brown and Fred Gibson to the NFL and they’d better look out cause these Buckin’ Bronco’s are run stuffers (an especially dangerous thing for Georgia in week number one). In what should be the MOST EXCITING MATCHUP of the week, I just can’t get this image out of my head: 50 dancing Bronco’s on the green grass in Athens with the clock ticking down to all balls.
Blue Turf by an incredible, unbelievable 4th quarter slug fest they didn’t know they had in them.
Sep. 3 Sat UL-Lafayette @ Texas (-39.5) 6:00 P FSN
The Longhorns kick off the season facing a downright dangerous Ragin’ Cajun squad –well, okay, maybe this is one of the most lopsided looking matchups in week 1 (well, at least one of the most lopsided televised matchups –Tech’s pasting of Florida International really should take the cake). To wit: the Cajun QB Jerry Barr was not only their leading passer but also their leading rusher. For Texas, look for Vince Young to sit in the pocket more than he’d like and try to fool the Buckeye’s into thinking he’s a major threat with his arm (hint to Mack: they ain’t buying it). Also look for Texas to really work the ground game in this one, tuning up for that trip to Columbus the following week. On Defense, if you’re an Orangeblood, the thing to watch will be the linebacking crew –who will step up in the OLB slot? This game certainly won’t be pretty and definitely won’t be interesting, unless you’re a Texas fan.
Texas and the points, but golly gee that’s a lot of points.
Sep. 3 Sat Texas A&M @ Clemson (+1) 7:00 P ABC
With Charlie Whitehurst still sitting under center, don’t expect the Tigers to muster much against the Aggie D. The Wrecking Crew –and I’m gonna have to use that term somewhat loosely still— have yet to return to their glory days of old; however, they are a tenacious, hard hitting unit that should prove more than capable of shutting down Clemson (really, the only things this unit lacks are quality corners and top notch speed). The Aggie offense is largely a question mark going into this season: Who will step up in the receiving corps, can Courtney Lewis stay healthy and be a feature back all season, and does Reggie McNeal still have the mental toughness to carry his entire offense for one more season? My guesses: Taylor and Mobley have been drooling for about 8 months; No but Freshman Samson Taylor should be able to carry more than just some of that load; Yes –Mr. McNeal is ready to do whatever it takes to win ball games.
Aggies by more than a measly point.
Sep. 3 Sat Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh (-3.5) 7:00 P ABC*
Will Weis have Brady Quinn prepped and primed? Will Wannstedt have his Panther D riled up and ready to rip apart the Irish O? Will both squads be ready? Heck, I sure hope so. This one is my pick for MOST INTRIGUING GAME OF THE WEEK –so of course it figures that we won’t be able to watch it down in Houston (I’m about 95% certain we’ll get the Aggie game instead). How’s this for offensive fireworks: QB Tyler Palko and WR Greg Lee for the Panthers and QB Brady Quinn and WRs McKnight and Stovall for the Golden Domers staging prison break offenses. Yeah, Pitt was a bit soft last season and ND wasn’t exactly what you’d call effective defending the pass, but this year isn’t ‘04. Pitt’s now got Dave Wannstedt’n all over their butts and the Irish have a lot more experience after the shelling they received all season long last year. Ya know, the more I read the pub on this Panther team, the more excited I get. Yeah, yeah I’m thinking the Irish are going to be loads better than their record this year (cheesh, they’ve got a helluva tough schedule), but I just can’t wait to see what Wani does with those young hosses on the Panther D, especially with an offense potent enough to allow him to gamble and not regret it. Choosing a winner is ridiculously difficult in this one, it really should be no line, but when it’s a) the first game of the season, b) a tremendously huge game, and 3) a game where both teams are breaking in new head coaches, the house cheat sheet says the game goes to he who wins the special teams battle and that, Sportzfanz, ought to be Pittsburgh.
Pitt –and it’s only with the points if they snag a touch in the waning moments to come from 2 or 3 down for the dubbya.
Sep. 3 Sat GA Tech @ Auburn (-7) 7:45 P ESPN
So how will the War Eagle hold up after the entire Auburn backfield was drafted with the first 5 picks? A: Pretty darn well with Brandon Cox under center and a trio of studs to pick up the slack left by Williams and Brown. On defense, the Tigers should play lights out as the front seven should keep even the mighty Tennessee O from cracking much beyond the century mark on the ground. Chan Gailey leads the Jackets in his fourth tour as head coach (has it really been that long already?). In those four years, the Chan Man has established what could very easily be he scariest defense this side of NC State in the ACC. The front four are the anchor of this unit with each man having a back up ready to be the starter on 95% of the other NCAA teams. With all that defense, it’ll be fun to see if Auburn can really get the O chugging. If not, expect it to be a long day as the Yellow Jackets boast one of the best receiver’s you’ve never heard of in Calvin Johnson should be able to wrangle free from an inexperienced Auburn backfield.
War Eagle by at least a touch.
Sep. 4 Sun West Virginia @ Syracuse (-1) 12:30 P ABC
The Mountaineers should field their ever impressive array of worm burners this season –especially with the entire offensive line returning, but the remainder of their offensive unit will be manned by young and inexperienced players. On D, WVa has to find a way to replace Pac Man in the secondary and get solid play out of their young linebackers. If they can do that then the Mountaineers should be challenging for the BEast Crown once again. For Syracuse, it’s Greg Robinson’s first game as a head coach and he’ll have his work cut out for him. First there’s the O which was nothing short of abysmal last season. With a new West Coast Offense, expect more production out of the unit but don’t expect that to necessarily mean more points on the board. The Defense was ranked 101st last season, but all 11 starters are returning and Robi is a defensive guru. Expect this unit to be vastly improved and challenge WVa for four full quarters. In the end though, I’m betting the lack of speed and talent on offense will keep Cuse from getting enough points on the board.
Mountaineers plus a few.
Sep. 4 Sun Louisville @ Kentucky (+22) 2:30 P ESPN
Despite the fact that Stefan Lefors did indeed leave for the NFL, Brian Brohm will be taking over his starting spot –and he’s even better than Stefan. While the Defense was busy being overshadowed by the offense last season, if did manage to finish the year 15th in the nation overall and 18th against the rush. While these years D probably won’t be quite as good as last, it should prove more than a match for a woeful Kentucky program. For those of you who can’t sit down and watch Pigskin all day, this would be one you’d be well advised to pass up.
Cardinals plus the spread.
Sep. 4 Sun VA Tech @ NC State (+5.5) 6:15 P ESPN2
The Wolfpack boasted the #1 ranked unit the nation last season, often holding opponents to fewer yards than points (thanks mostly to a horribly turnover prone offense). This season, the front four return and the back seven while not all returning should be just as good as last season –come October. It will take a little time for the newbie’s to get a little air time under their belt, but what better way to get ready than to face the Hokies and Marcus Vick? The Hokies are the darling of the off season this year (even more so than Ohio State, Texas, or dare I say USC). The nagging thing to me is that all this hype is dependant on one thing: Marcus Vick. If he lives up to the hype then they say Va Tech is a shoe-in for the conference crown. Me, I don’t believe it –one man does not a team make (maybe for one game, but not for an entire season). I expect to see Vick a little rusty and unsettled in the backfield while the Wolfpack front four marauder their way through the Hokie line. On Defense, the Hokies are no slouches, but should have more trouble than NC State replacing the departed seniors.
Wolfpack even without the spread.
Sep. 5 Mon Miami @ Florida State (-3) 7:00 P ABC
And so it comes down to this: the last game of Week 1 for the MMV Season is the Monday Nite Showdown in the Swamp. I can’t for the life of me figure out how FSU is picked by 3 for the odds makers –surely the site I got that info from was wrong! The Seminoles will be without Wyatt Sexton under center (Lyme Disease), play a hodge-podge O-line, and start two freshman receivers. Their only saving grace is their backfield combo of Booker and Washington –whom the Canes should be able to flood the holes for as the passing game isn’t going to be very good in Week 1. It won’t help matters any that Miami, on defense, will look a pro team –super fast, flying around, and hard hitting. Devon Hester will in all likelihood break a big one in the kicking game to keep his ‘Most Dangerous Return Man In Football’ crown going into this season. The Cane O is cause for a bit of concern –but only a bit. They are young in the skill positions, but anchored by vets on the line and once they start to gel, that should be about it for most defenses. Canes, and throw out that spread –it’s wrong I tell ya.
The Week 1 Schedule
Sep. 1 Thu UCF @ South Carolina (-18.5) 6:30 P ESPN
Sep. 1 Thu Oregon @ Houston (+8.5) 6:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 1 Thu Minnesota @ Tulsa (+15) 9:15 P ESPN2
Sep. 2 Fri Arizona @ Utah (-8) 7:00 P ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat TCU @ Oklahoma (-27) 11:00 A ABC
Sep. 3 Sat Miami (OH) @ Ohio State (-15.5) 11:00 A ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Bowling Green @ Wisconsin (-4) 11:00 A ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat Rutgers @ Illinois (-1.5) 11:00 A ESPN2
Sep. 3 Sat Boston College @ BYU (+4) 2:30 p ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Northern Illinois @ Michigan (-18) 2:30 p ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Air Force vs. Washington (-2.5) 2:30 p ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat Colorado State @ Colorado (-8) 2:30 p TBS
Sep. 3 Sat Boise State @ Georgia (-7) 4:30 P ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat Southern California @ Hawaii 6:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 3 Sat UL-Lafayette @ Texas (-39.5) 6:00 P FSN
Sep. 3 Sat Texas A&M @ Clemson (+1) 7:00 P ABC
Sep. 3 Sat Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh (-3.5) 7:00 P ABC*
Sep. 3 Sat GA Tech @ Auburn (-7) 7:45 P ESPN
Sep. 3 Sat UCLA @ San Diego State (+7.5) 9:15 P ESPN2
Sep. 4 Sun West Virginia @ Syracuse (-1) 12:30 P ABC
Sep. 4 Sun Louisville @ Kentucky (+22) 2:30 P ESPN
Sep. 4 Sun Tulane @ Southern Miss (-10.5) 3:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 4 Sun VA Tech @ NC State (+5.5) 6:15 P ESPN2
Sep. 5 Mon UNLV @ New Mexico (-14) 12:00 P ESPN2
Sep. 5 Mon Ole Miss @ Memphis (-2.5) 3:30 P ESPN
Sep. 5 Mon Miami @ Florida State (-3) 7:00 P ABC
The Week 1 Run Down
Sep. 1 Thu UCF @ South Carolina (-18.5) 6:30 P ESPN
Steve Spurrier makes his NCAA comeback debut in Columbia against the Golden Knights (who are still led by one-time Irish Coach George O’Leary). In his first season back in the SEC, don’t expect much out of these Cocks; however, with the Knights coming into this one riding an oh-fer streak out of Oh-Fo’, DO expect the Visor to notch a dubbya in his first game. Given the offseason the Gamecocks have had (no less than a half dozen players either left or were dismissed from the team), you just know these guys are ready to get out on that gridiron and vent a little frustration. Oh, and don’t think for a minute that Spurrier learned any real humility in his disastrous coaching stint in the NFL.
Gamecocks peck the spread to bits.
Sep. 1 Thu Oregon @ Houston (+8.5) 6:00 P ESPN2
The second game of the season is actually the first, but The Visor’s return is getting all the pub these days so who am I to buck the trend? In this one, Belotti’s underachieving Ducks travel down to Houston to tussle with the Cougars. Art Briles’ crew, while regressing a bit last season, sport a potent pass attack with returning gunslinger Kevin Kolb who should have no problem airing it out against what looks to be yet another average Ducky-D. On the other side of the ball, the Ducks new offense coordinator (Gary Crowton from BYU) has installed a spread offense to make better use of QB Kellen Clemens. His arm and the feet of WR Demetrius Williams should keep the Cougar defense on its heels –and open up all kinds of running room for Terrance Whitehead. Yep, that’s right: Whitehead. In this one, not only will the Pigskin Year get kicked off, but we’ll also get to see if the Deuce Crew can hit the season running with their usual level of commentary excellence –ie, just how many “Oh, Whitehead just got popped!” comments do you think they can dish out?
Ducks, straight up.
Sep. 2 Fri Arizona @ Utah (-8) 7:00 P ESPN
As of right now, this is the lone fare on the Friday menu (unless you count Division II –which I don’t), but what it may lack in quantity it ought to make up for in quality and intrigue. The Ute’s are one year removed from that BCS Bustin’ showing of yester-year, but have an almost entirely rebuilt coaching staff along with a new man under center. Gone is uber-guru Urban Meyer, the Ute Offensive Coordinator, and first overall draft pick Alex Smith –not to mention their leading rusher (Marty Johnson), and their top two receivers. With that many loses, how can they possibly keep from having a big let down year? Enter Oregon’s Andy Ludwig at O-coordinator, Brain Johnson under center, and rock sledder Quinton Ganther (widely considered one of the top backs in the Mountain West). On defense, the Ute’s should be fine with starters coming back at all positions except linebacker. For ‘Zona, this marks year number two under the Stoops Brothers (Mike is head coach and Mark is defensive coordinator). Now while the Wildcats may have turned a serious corner on defense, they are a long ways from good on offense (ranked 116th in the nation last year). With only 5 returning starters from last year’s unit look for speed and youth to markedly improve these Desert Cats O. But even at that, it will still be this offense that keeps AU from having an above sea level record and reaching Bowl Nirvana. In this one, the diamond in the rough is the Cat D lining up against the Ute O: how this battle goes will be a harbinger for both teams this season. MHO: The Cats D will be a lot faster and nastier than Utah is expecting and inserting new guys at all major skill positions on offense will prove trickier than Utah thinks. Despite that, Utah should be able to pull away in the second half as their roster is just too deep for ‘Zona to keep up with. Sorry Stoopsie Twins.
Utah plus the spread.
Sep. 3 Sat TCU @ Oklahoma (-27) 11:00 A ABC
Will the Sooners make a statement in week one that last season’s Trojan hangover is but a distant memory, or will the inexperienced D get exposed against a strong Horny Frog? The Sooners lost 24 lettermen (including 7 starters on defense), but have all world back Adrian Peterson ready to sled with the rock. But this just in, Senior Paul Thompson has been named the Sooner starting QB over Super Prep Freshman Rhett Bomar –this has got to worry Sooner fans a little bit as Bomar was expected to run away with the job at the start of the spring drills. Regardless of who is under center though, expect the Sooners to go yard all day long against an overwhelmed Horned Frog secondary. The Frogs should be able to provide a good early season test for the inexperienced Sooner D as QB Tye Gunn’slinger’ is a legitimate threat against any defense, especially with the Mountain West’s best 1-2 punch in RBs Robert Merrill and Lonta Hobbs to keep the heat off him. Despite that, the Froggers just don’t have the meat up front or the team speed keep AP bottled up and in the backfield for four quarters.
Oklahoma by a mile –that’s more than 27, right?
Sep. 3 Sat Miami (OH) @ Ohio State (-15.5) 11:00A ABC*
The Redbirds field one of the most experienced MAC teams this season behind Josh Betts, a monster receiving crew and a solid and stable O-line. On defense, the secondary will be the weak link as the front seven are all returning starters that could provide headaches for OSU if they aren’t settled into their schemes right from the starting gun. The Buckeye’s feature a talent laden team that returns 9 starters on both sides of the ball including perhaps the nation’s best linebacking crew. Ted Ginn Jr will figure to be included in nearly every way imaginable (go ahead and count the number of times the commentators say “Give it to him ‘Ginn, and ‘Ginn, and ‘Ginn” –I dare you), but with Justin Zwick under center for Week 1 (Troy Smith is serving a one game suspension for taking illicit ‘donations’ while ‘working’ …hmmm) expect the Buckeye O to stop, start, cough and sputter throughout the game. This one is full of upset potential: (1) it’s in the ‘Shoe where OSU loves to play Tressel Ball (meaning: let me beat you in the 4th quarter with a field goal); (2) Mike Nugent the Savior has graduated and left the building, (3) OSU may just be looking ahead to next week’s showdown with Texas; and (4) the MAC will knock off a Big10 team this season –and this could be it? …but only if the Redbirds can add the spread to their final score.
Buckeye’s straight up.
Sep. 3 Sat Bowling Green @ Wisconsin (-4) 11:00 A ESPN
Last season, the Mean Green Falceen lost out to Toledo in an aerial shootout, ‘yet again’ missing out on the MAC Championship (talk about always the bridesmaid…). After their usual letdown, they responded by routing Memphis in the GMAC Bowl and have since declared this season a success if and only if they can capture that elusive conference crown (um, isn’t that on everyone’s goal list?). For the Badgers, last season started off well enough but turned ugly early with their main hoss Anthony Davis going down and their offense subsequently stuck in neutral for, well, the entire season. In ‘05, they’ve brought in Paul Chryst from Oregon State to spiffy up the pass attack and mold a real passing QB out of John Stucco. On the defensive side of the ball the Badgers will have to replace every single one beef eater on the defensive line (each found a hefty meal ticket with the NFL on draft day). Even so, don’t expect Wisconsin to call it a ‘rebuilding year’ or stop doing the almighty 4th Quarter Jump Around. While Bowling Green is more than ‘just’ capable of making the upset here (in fact, I’m surprised the line isn’t a pick’em), this IS Camp Randall and this IS a Barry Alvarez team (have you ever noticed that his guys just don’t ever rollover –or win pretty for that matter?).
Badgers by a …well, nose although I’m not sure exactly how big a Badger’s nose is.
Sep. 3 Sat Colorado State @ Colorado (-8) 2:30 p TBS
Last season the Rams top 4 tacklers on defense were their four starting DBs –that just ain’t good. This year, the front seven will have to step up if the Rams are to climb above 500 and get into Bowl Season. The Buffs, meanwhile, are looking to replace 12 year veteran RB Bobby Purify with senior Lawrence Vickers –the only trouble is that was the plan in each of the previous 3 seasons when Bobby went down with an injury. On defense, the Buffs are run stuffers but haven’t been able to put up much flak to stop anyone’s passing game. For C-State to capitalize, Justin Hollard will have to play error free while finding speedster David Anderson with the long ball. If the Buffs can feast on the Rams’ defense with their tight ends (Klopfenstein and Sypniewski –yeah, try saying those names 5 times fast) this should be a shoe-in for Barnett. Eh, and even it’s not, you can still take heart in knowing you’ll be watching two tight ends that will be making the big bucks in the Pro’s next year (barring injury).
Buffaloes and I’ll even give you the points.
Sep. 3 Sat Boise State @ Georgia (-7) 4:30 P ESPN
After years of hemming and hawing about not being taken seriously, the Blue Turf Bronco’s from Boise finally get their shot at some BCS Big Boys. Last season was supposed to be a ‘rebuilding year’ if you believe the Idaho Hype –and all they did was go a measly 11-1, losing to Louisville 44-40 in a wild Liberty Bowl of the ages (who can forget that game!?!). This year, 8 starters return on O and D highlighted by QB Jared Zebransky (yeah, you know his name). While everyone may think the Dawgs in Athens are a shoe-in against a mere WAC team, don’t take these Broncos so lightly. Personally, I think 7 is too many points to give this powerhouse team. True, Georgia’s D should be every bit as good as last year’s (even without Mr. Universe, David Pollack) but it’s the Georgia O that has me concerned. They didn’t exactly light up the conference last season with David Greene under center (despite the fact that he now owns the record for most wins by ANYONE in Division 1A). This season they get DJ Shockley –a stud hoss of a run/pass quarterback—but it could also take a while to get him comfortable and relaxed. Plus, they’ve lost their starting WR tandem of Reggie Brown and Fred Gibson to the NFL and they’d better look out cause these Buckin’ Bronco’s are run stuffers (an especially dangerous thing for Georgia in week number one). In what should be the MOST EXCITING MATCHUP of the week, I just can’t get this image out of my head: 50 dancing Bronco’s on the green grass in Athens with the clock ticking down to all balls.
Blue Turf by an incredible, unbelievable 4th quarter slug fest they didn’t know they had in them.
Sep. 3 Sat UL-Lafayette @ Texas (-39.5) 6:00 P FSN
The Longhorns kick off the season facing a downright dangerous Ragin’ Cajun squad –well, okay, maybe this is one of the most lopsided looking matchups in week 1 (well, at least one of the most lopsided televised matchups –Tech’s pasting of Florida International really should take the cake). To wit: the Cajun QB Jerry Barr was not only their leading passer but also their leading rusher. For Texas, look for Vince Young to sit in the pocket more than he’d like and try to fool the Buckeye’s into thinking he’s a major threat with his arm (hint to Mack: they ain’t buying it). Also look for Texas to really work the ground game in this one, tuning up for that trip to Columbus the following week. On Defense, if you’re an Orangeblood, the thing to watch will be the linebacking crew –who will step up in the OLB slot? This game certainly won’t be pretty and definitely won’t be interesting, unless you’re a Texas fan.
Texas and the points, but golly gee that’s a lot of points.
Sep. 3 Sat Texas A&M @ Clemson (+1) 7:00 P ABC
With Charlie Whitehurst still sitting under center, don’t expect the Tigers to muster much against the Aggie D. The Wrecking Crew –and I’m gonna have to use that term somewhat loosely still— have yet to return to their glory days of old; however, they are a tenacious, hard hitting unit that should prove more than capable of shutting down Clemson (really, the only things this unit lacks are quality corners and top notch speed). The Aggie offense is largely a question mark going into this season: Who will step up in the receiving corps, can Courtney Lewis stay healthy and be a feature back all season, and does Reggie McNeal still have the mental toughness to carry his entire offense for one more season? My guesses: Taylor and Mobley have been drooling for about 8 months; No but Freshman Samson Taylor should be able to carry more than just some of that load; Yes –Mr. McNeal is ready to do whatever it takes to win ball games.
Aggies by more than a measly point.
Sep. 3 Sat Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh (-3.5) 7:00 P ABC*
Will Weis have Brady Quinn prepped and primed? Will Wannstedt have his Panther D riled up and ready to rip apart the Irish O? Will both squads be ready? Heck, I sure hope so. This one is my pick for MOST INTRIGUING GAME OF THE WEEK –so of course it figures that we won’t be able to watch it down in Houston (I’m about 95% certain we’ll get the Aggie game instead). How’s this for offensive fireworks: QB Tyler Palko and WR Greg Lee for the Panthers and QB Brady Quinn and WRs McKnight and Stovall for the Golden Domers staging prison break offenses. Yeah, Pitt was a bit soft last season and ND wasn’t exactly what you’d call effective defending the pass, but this year isn’t ‘04. Pitt’s now got Dave Wannstedt’n all over their butts and the Irish have a lot more experience after the shelling they received all season long last year. Ya know, the more I read the pub on this Panther team, the more excited I get. Yeah, yeah I’m thinking the Irish are going to be loads better than their record this year (cheesh, they’ve got a helluva tough schedule), but I just can’t wait to see what Wani does with those young hosses on the Panther D, especially with an offense potent enough to allow him to gamble and not regret it. Choosing a winner is ridiculously difficult in this one, it really should be no line, but when it’s a) the first game of the season, b) a tremendously huge game, and 3) a game where both teams are breaking in new head coaches, the house cheat sheet says the game goes to he who wins the special teams battle and that, Sportzfanz, ought to be Pittsburgh.
Pitt –and it’s only with the points if they snag a touch in the waning moments to come from 2 or 3 down for the dubbya.
Sep. 3 Sat GA Tech @ Auburn (-7) 7:45 P ESPN
So how will the War Eagle hold up after the entire Auburn backfield was drafted with the first 5 picks? A: Pretty darn well with Brandon Cox under center and a trio of studs to pick up the slack left by Williams and Brown. On defense, the Tigers should play lights out as the front seven should keep even the mighty Tennessee O from cracking much beyond the century mark on the ground. Chan Gailey leads the Jackets in his fourth tour as head coach (has it really been that long already?). In those four years, the Chan Man has established what could very easily be he scariest defense this side of NC State in the ACC. The front four are the anchor of this unit with each man having a back up ready to be the starter on 95% of the other NCAA teams. With all that defense, it’ll be fun to see if Auburn can really get the O chugging. If not, expect it to be a long day as the Yellow Jackets boast one of the best receiver’s you’ve never heard of in Calvin Johnson should be able to wrangle free from an inexperienced Auburn backfield.
War Eagle by at least a touch.
Sep. 4 Sun West Virginia @ Syracuse (-1) 12:30 P ABC
The Mountaineers should field their ever impressive array of worm burners this season –especially with the entire offensive line returning, but the remainder of their offensive unit will be manned by young and inexperienced players. On D, WVa has to find a way to replace Pac Man in the secondary and get solid play out of their young linebackers. If they can do that then the Mountaineers should be challenging for the BEast Crown once again. For Syracuse, it’s Greg Robinson’s first game as a head coach and he’ll have his work cut out for him. First there’s the O which was nothing short of abysmal last season. With a new West Coast Offense, expect more production out of the unit but don’t expect that to necessarily mean more points on the board. The Defense was ranked 101st last season, but all 11 starters are returning and Robi is a defensive guru. Expect this unit to be vastly improved and challenge WVa for four full quarters. In the end though, I’m betting the lack of speed and talent on offense will keep Cuse from getting enough points on the board.
Mountaineers plus a few.
Sep. 4 Sun Louisville @ Kentucky (+22) 2:30 P ESPN
Despite the fact that Stefan Lefors did indeed leave for the NFL, Brian Brohm will be taking over his starting spot –and he’s even better than Stefan. While the Defense was busy being overshadowed by the offense last season, if did manage to finish the year 15th in the nation overall and 18th against the rush. While these years D probably won’t be quite as good as last, it should prove more than a match for a woeful Kentucky program. For those of you who can’t sit down and watch Pigskin all day, this would be one you’d be well advised to pass up.
Cardinals plus the spread.
Sep. 4 Sun VA Tech @ NC State (+5.5) 6:15 P ESPN2
The Wolfpack boasted the #1 ranked unit the nation last season, often holding opponents to fewer yards than points (thanks mostly to a horribly turnover prone offense). This season, the front four return and the back seven while not all returning should be just as good as last season –come October. It will take a little time for the newbie’s to get a little air time under their belt, but what better way to get ready than to face the Hokies and Marcus Vick? The Hokies are the darling of the off season this year (even more so than Ohio State, Texas, or dare I say USC). The nagging thing to me is that all this hype is dependant on one thing: Marcus Vick. If he lives up to the hype then they say Va Tech is a shoe-in for the conference crown. Me, I don’t believe it –one man does not a team make (maybe for one game, but not for an entire season). I expect to see Vick a little rusty and unsettled in the backfield while the Wolfpack front four marauder their way through the Hokie line. On Defense, the Hokies are no slouches, but should have more trouble than NC State replacing the departed seniors.
Wolfpack even without the spread.
Sep. 5 Mon Miami @ Florida State (-3) 7:00 P ABC
And so it comes down to this: the last game of Week 1 for the MMV Season is the Monday Nite Showdown in the Swamp. I can’t for the life of me figure out how FSU is picked by 3 for the odds makers –surely the site I got that info from was wrong! The Seminoles will be without Wyatt Sexton under center (Lyme Disease), play a hodge-podge O-line, and start two freshman receivers. Their only saving grace is their backfield combo of Booker and Washington –whom the Canes should be able to flood the holes for as the passing game isn’t going to be very good in Week 1. It won’t help matters any that Miami, on defense, will look a pro team –super fast, flying around, and hard hitting. Devon Hester will in all likelihood break a big one in the kicking game to keep his ‘Most Dangerous Return Man In Football’ crown going into this season. The Cane O is cause for a bit of concern –but only a bit. They are young in the skill positions, but anchored by vets on the line and once they start to gel, that should be about it for most defenses. Canes, and throw out that spread –it’s wrong I tell ya.
